Climate Change Part 2 – NASA determines wetlands impact from space

Half the worlds wetlands have been lost since 1900 ( UN) , mostly due to human disturbance. What is not known is the impact of lowering water levels due to climate change.
While water levels in Georgian Bay fluctuate for a variety of reasons, the long-term trend (30 to 40 years) is that Lake Huron-Michigan water level averages will continue to decline largely in response to climate change, with probabilities of extreme lows and possibilities of short-term highs.

Lowered water levels can strand and destroy areas of wetland. GBF wanted to know the impact to the relatively pristine wetlands of Georgian Bay that play such a critical role in its health.

In 2014 and 2015, Georgian Bay Forever and the Great Lakes St. Lawrence Cities Initiative participated in collaborative work with the NASA-DEVELOP program and the Ontario Ministry of the Environment to map wetland change in the Georgian Bay area.

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A view from the Paris climate talks

Written by Jonathan Scott. Jonathan Scott is a law student and writer living in the United Kingdom.

It’s Friday evening, midway through the COP21 Climate Change Conference, and there’s an event for the young activists assembled to pressure their governments into action. It’s a spoken word night in an extraordinary location.

The old Gare Ornano in the 18th arrondissement opened in 1869, closed in 1934 and has been the site of La Recyclerie, an urban farm and vegan café, since 2014. Picture lots of exposed beams and a loft overlooking the main, cafeteria-style hall, with stations to scrap your food waste into the composter and no plastic allowed. There’s a queue outside, filled with Australian, Dutch and American activists arriving late. A man tries to sell fruit and beads without much luck. (I didn’t realize it that evening, but the garden outside is built in the old, unused train tracks running into the converted station, part of a network of reclaimed train corridors throughout Paris.) Read More

Water quality at risk with climate change – Part 1

Climate change is all around us and certainly in the news with the Climate Change talks in Paris. Climate change is arguably the biggest and most challenging threat to the Great lakes.

Spring thaw of Georgian Bay

Most of the last century’s warmest years in the region all occurred in the last decade. (Read here to understand weather like El Nino vs. climate) The long term climate trend is showing that the region, like the world is heating up more rapidly then anytime in history despite recent short-term cold winter variations.

Water temperatures, water levels and water quality are linked

With this warming trend comes a variety of other effects: warmer water and air temperatures, earlier springs and later falls, less rain and snowfall, more protracted drought-like conditions, flashier storms, longer ice-free periods, and more evaporation and lower water levels.

Another effect that scientists are studying on northern lakes is longer stratification periods…

What is stratification?
Northern lakes have a kind of circulation from high to low depths that is related to winter freezing and heating of the lake. When the top layer of the lake is almost frozen, this layer sinks down. This sinking layer brings oxygen to lower depths and pushes nutrients up (*Cheryl Katz,    As the Lake heats up, the surface breaks into different layers that prevent the oxygen from intermingling into the deeper and cool depths below.  This layering from the heating of the water is called stratification. As this process intensifies, it brings these risks:

  • Risk to ecosystems: A longer stratification period due to longer summers and less cold winter temperatures, creates a bigger and longer low oxygen area of the lake that is unfit for many living things.
  • Risk to water quality: It also increases conditions in which cyanobacteria can thrive, which can lead to toxic harmful algae blooms.


That means that your drinking water is also at risk. In August 2014, half a million Toledo residents lost their drinking water because of toxins in their water system from blue-green algae. Lake Erie experienced its largest ever toxic algae bloom this year which fortunately was pushed off shore away from their municipal water system intakes.

At Georgian Bay Forever, we are working on projects that help monitor and standardize water quality measures, and helping to support research into the causes of algal blooms in order to effectively reduce risk in the future.


Part 2, coming soon,  will examine how water levels effect water quality.


Sources used in this post:

*Katz, Cheryl. “On Thin Ice: Big Northern Lakes Are Being Rapidly Transformed.” Yale Environment360. Retrieved December 1st at


Confused by the El Niño weather effect on lake levels for Huron Michigan?

Post updated January 19, 2016 and noted inside

El Niño is a weather pattern created from the interaction of the atmosphere and the ocean producing warmer than normal water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. Even though it occurs at the equator, it produces weather conditions globally – including in the Great Lakes Region.

Water levels are impacted by many variables including short term weather like El Niño and longer term climate conditions. It is important to understand both.

Weather Vs. Climate

image that shows conflicting road signs

NOAA describes it these ways:

  • Weather is what you might see outside on any given day, while climate is the average of that weather over a longer time period.
  • “Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get.”

Long term outlook – According to most scientists water levels for Lake Huron-Michigan are likely to continue to decline over the longer term due largely to climate change – however,  short-term variations of extreme highs due to flashier storms are possible.

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Getting closer to predicting algal blooms in 5 questions

In October 2015, GBF’s David Sweetnam met University of Toronto Associate Professor Maria Dittrich in Honey Harbour to help her research measuring the make-up of the sediment, and its capacity to release Phosphorous into the water.

It’s important research as freshwater with high Phosphorous is linked with an increased risk in toxic algal blooms.

We asked Professor Dittrich some questions about her research, and have included extra information marked GBF to explain some of the details.

Collage Corrected low res

How does your research support protecting and enhancing the waters of Georgian Bay?

Professor Dittrich:
Phosphorus is the typical limiting nutrient for primary production or algae growth in freshwater ecosystems, where high Phosphorus inputs are linked with an increased risk of algal blooms dominated by potentially harmful cyanobacteria (CHABs).
We are using field and modelling studies to predict sediment Phosphorus mobilization and its impact on water quality and the risk of CHABs, based on robust measures and a modelling framework that we have successfully developed and applied elsewhere. Read More